| Model | Biden | Trump |
|---|---|---|
| Retrospective | 52.3 | 47.7 |
|
Fundamentals-plus
|
56.7
|
43.3
|
|
Lewis-Beck & Tien
|
56.7
|
43.3
|
|
Fundamentals-only
|
50.5
|
49.5
|
|
Fair
|
47.9
|
52.1
|