| Model | Biden | Trump |
|---|---|---|
| Retrospective | 53.6 | 46.4 |
|
Fundamentals-plus
|
56.7
|
43.3
|
|
Lewis-Beck & Tien
|
||
|
Fundamentals-only
|
50.5
|
49.5
|
|
Ray Fair
|
50.5
|
49.5
|