Model Biden Trump
Models 54.5 45.5
Retrospective
55.5
44.5
Fundamentals-only
54.2
45.8
Ray Fair
54.2
45.8
Mixed
54.7
45.3
Kersting
Economist
55.1
44.9
Jay DeSart
53.4
46.6
Prospective
52.3
47.7
Big-issue
52.8
47.2
Issues and Leaders
51.8
48.2