Model Biden Trump
Models 53 47
Retrospective
53.6
46.4
Fundamentals-plus
56.7
43.3
Lewis-Beck & Tien
56.7
43.3
Fundamentals-only
50.5
49.5
Fair
50.5
49.5
Prospective
53.1
46.9
Issues and Leaders
53.5
46.5
Big-issue
52.6
47.4
Mixed
53
47
Erikson & Wlezien
55.7
44.3
DeSart
54.8
45.2
DeSart & Holbrook
54.4
45.6
538 (polls-plus)
54.3
45.7
Economist
54
46
Lichtman's Keys
52.1
47.9
Lockerbie
44.83
55.17